Can a case be made against the heavy favorite Flightline in Saturday’s $6 million Breeders’ Cup Classic (G1) at Keeneland?
We have seen some short priced winners in the Breeders’ Cup Classic in recent years including a string from 2015 to 2018 where American Pharoah paid $3.40, Arrogate returned $5.40, Gun Runner paid his backers $6.80 and Accelerate paid $7.40.
Overall the betting favorite is 10 for 38 in the Breeders’ Cup Classic. Knicks Go paid $8.40 last year as the co-second choice. Essential Quality was the 9-5 favorite last year and had to settle for third.
Now horseplayers have to figure out what to do with Flightline, who could end up the shortest price in Classic history.
Matthew Desantis makes his case against Flightline in the Breeders’ Cup Classic:
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The John Sadler trainee is perfect in his five career starts capped off by a 19 ¼ length win in the Pacific Classic (G1) in his last outing. He earned a 126 Beyer Speed Figure in that outing,
That Beyer number was the second highest ever. The highest belongs to Ghostzapper, who earned a 128 Beyer in his victory in the 2004 Philip H. Iselin Handicap (G3) at Monmouth Park.
Flightline earned a negative 8 1/2, the best Thoro-Graph number ever given. Thoro-Graph has been making numbers for over 35 years.
The heavy favorite will be facing a solid group of runners in the Classic. Among his main foes is last year’s Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile (G1) winner Life Is Good, Travers (G1) winner Epicenter, Jockey Club Gold Cup (G1) victor Olympiad, and Pennsylvania Derby (G1) winner Taiba.
Check out the Breeders’ Cup Classic Betting Trends.