NBA Draft 2012: Teamwork Prevails

For once, the NBA is looking like a team sport.

Teammates were a major theme of the 2012 NBA Draft. Kentucky freshmen teammates Anthony Davis and Michael Kidd-Gilchrist were selected first and second overall, marking the first time that college teammates were selected one and two. Kentucky had six members of its National Championship team declare for and get selected in the draft, another NBA first.

While most people expected all six Kentucky players to be selected, it was somewhat surprising that four University of North Carolina Tar Heels were drafted before the fourth Kentucky Wildcat was picked. Tar Heel players were selected at spots 7, 13, 14 and 17 overall, compared to the Wildcats who were chosen at spots 1, 2, 18, 29, 42 and 46 overall.

Kentucky and North Carolina stole the headlines by submitting ten of the 60 total draft picks, but other schools had multiple student-athletes drafted by NBA teams as well.

Syracuse University had three members of its 2012 Elite Eight team selected, being picked at numbers 4, 22 and 51. Joining Cuse in the Three Club is Baylor University. Three Baylor Bears were selected at spots 28, 37 and 38, respectively. The third collegiate member of the 2012 Three Club is academic powerhouse Vanderbilt University. Three former Commodores were selected at spots 23, 30 and 31 overall.

Think about that. Five highly respected universities produced one third of the entire 2012 NBA Draft class. Consider also that six additional universities each had two players drafted (Connecticut, Duke, Kansas, Marquette, Missouri, Washington), and 11 universities made up 31 of the 60 total draft picks.

Several years ago, the NBA changed its draft eligibility rules so that a player must be at least one year removed from high school to be eligible for the draft. This move created the hotly debated “one-and-done” college star, a la Anthony Davis, and changed the landscape of college basketball to reward the coaches and programs that are able to provide the best environment for a 12-month college visit.

Full credit goes to John Calipari and the University of Kentucky for their well-deserved National Championship. Congratulations are also due to all the institutions that proudly sent young men they educated to potential NBA careers. But, with such a high density of this freshmen class coming from less than a dozen colleges, will this 2012 Draft class be full of team-first guys that recognize how much their teammates and coaches helped them or are they just a bunch of millionaires in waiting?

It will take time before this draft class has any type of NBA legacy, but I’m optimistic that the NBA just received 60 new employees that are prepared to perform at the world’s highest level. Many of these young men will enter the Association with former teammates as current teammates or division rivals; either way, it’s good news for the NBA because players are like fans in that they feel comfortable around familiar faces and everyone now recognizes the unibrow.

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NBA Draft: Problems and Solutions

After the most recent NBA Draft Lottery, reports and theories have focused on the possibility of a rigged lottery. These unsubstantiated rumors deflect from the real takeaway from the lottery: Bad NBA teams still have an incentive to lose games late in the season.

The worst record in the NBA does not guarantee the first pick in the draft (like it does in the NFL) but it does guarantee the highest likelihood of getting the first pick, which still creates an incentive to lose games.

In any business, incentives must align with goals. The NBA’s goal is to provide fans with an entertaining product on the court and on TV. Teams have an incentive to play attractive basketball because fans and sponsors like winners. However, teams recognize that it’s far less economically risky to try to become a winner via the draft than via free agency. Teams also recognize that having low picks is the best way to make the most of the draft and get a true impact player. If that young player doesn’t pan out, the cost was just a rookie contract rather than a veteran max deal. So, if you’re a bad NBA team (and if you are, few all-stars will want to join your team unless you’re giving them a max contract), it’s absolutely smart business to tank the rest of the season, give yourself a high probability of getting a lottery pick, and worst case you eat a small contract and admirably tank the next season. Best case you draft Kevin Durant.

Now, the consequences of this tanking approach is criticism from the media and a decrease in home attendance. The consequences of making a bad acquisition in free agency is the same media and fan criticism, plus financially crippling the club for usually about five years. I think any coach or GM would rather deal with criticism from the media than criticism from the guy who writes their checks.

An alternative to an amateur draft can be seen in nearly any other country in the world.

Soccer is played professionally in basically every country and all of these leagues do not have an amateur draft, but instead punish the worst team in the league with a demotion to a lower league where the only thing scarcer than revenue is talented players. Plenty of relegated teams earn promotion back into the top league the next year and a handful keep falling into lower league obscurity, but the teams that hurt the competitive balance in the league are not invited back until they have proven they can compete at the top level.

America does not have sufficient minor leagues to pull off a relegation and promotion system but we can learn from this system that poor performers should be punished, not rewarded.

Think of your own job or responsibilities. If you work on a sales team and you make the fewest sales during a given period, do you think you’ll be rewarded with the best leads heading into the next period? No. You’ll either be fired or have to scrap and work hard to reestablish yourself.

So, now for the solution. There are 30 teams in the NBA and as fun as the annual debate is over whether the NCAA Champion could beat the Wizards, all 30 teams are stacked from top to bottom with actual NBA talent. 16 of those 30 teams make the playoffs. Several factors could lead to a team missing the playoffs, but lack of talent is not one of them. Lack of ability to motivate and optimize talent is often the reason, which means the team needs a management change, not the best 20 year-old in the country.

All NBA teams (should) have a singular goal to win a championship every year and that means the 14 teams that don’t make the playoffs failed their fans and shareholders equally because they won’t win a championship that year. Why reward the team that failed the most?

Punishing the worst team wouldn’t work because there really isn’t an American comparable to relegation and any other punishment would probably cause further damage to the competitive balance in the NBA.

So, the best solution is to treat all failures equal. Each of the 14 teams that missed the playoffs should have an equal chance to win the draft lottery: 7.15 percent or a 1 in 14 chance.

First of all, you don’t need the no. 1 overall pick to select a franchise player. Many of the best active players in the NBA were not picked first. Kobe Bryant was picked 13th, Andre Iguodala 9th, Rajon Rondo 21st. Having the top pick does not mean your team will land the top player. Ask Kwame Brown or Greg Oden.

Many consistent lottery teams are there every year because they stick with an inept GM and an uninspiring coach. This proposed system will expose those managers that either evaluate talent poorly or are unable to maximize it.

Most importantly, with this proposed system, once you are mathematically out of the playoffs, you have no incentive to continue losing. So incentives and goals are aligned.

There are many rich and powerful people involved in the NBA. But make no mistake that fans drive the league since they fill the arenas and buy the replica jerseys. The league would be making a huge mistake to continue disrespecting the fans by pretending that teams don’t tank their seasons to win the lottery.

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